Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 3.073578 3.675148 4.347302 5.151631 6.085471 7.132951 8.394192
2025-10-26 2.174669 2.930170 3.863959 5.093341 6.658447 8.572545 11.077257
2025-11-02 1.576054 2.353022 3.399062 4.889680 6.934613 9.613361 13.353782
2025-11-09 1.188005 1.942569 3.037424 4.707481 7.147772 10.531997 15.515244
2025-11-16 0.961997 1.704587 2.854874 4.715176 7.582520 11.752776 18.168286
2025-11-23 0.794454 1.516210 2.703139 4.726695 7.997428 12.957614 20.884714
2025-11-30 0.655057 1.342194 2.538066 4.679971 8.297296 13.996858 23.425298
2025-12-07 0.518450 1.141881 2.290609 4.451560 8.261938 14.493211 25.150090
2025-12-14 0.435499 1.024504 2.167204 4.413052 8.526839 15.476691 27.710688
2025-12-21 0.370463 0.928570 2.065897 4.395492 8.817215 16.515751 30.432385
2025-12-28 0.344063 0.909636 2.110419 4.655381 9.628628 18.501964 34.890006
2026-01-04 0.308262 0.861529 2.087029 4.776774 10.190799 20.092173 38.776793
2026-01-11 0.281615 0.830968 2.098840 4.976675 10.935076 22.090053 43.571678
2026-01-18 0.243931 0.764288 2.020564 4.978073 11.290475 23.407960 47.252567
2026-01-25 0.200853 0.672324 1.867942 4.795911 11.252234 23.980764 49.606652
2026-02-01 0.165649 0.592462 1.728937 4.622035 11.207067 24.528131 51.942348
2026-02-08 0.144854 0.549264 1.672987 4.631220 11.550447 25.858590 55.858059
2026-02-15 0.127078 0.510529 1.621488 4.643057 11.898633 27.221911 59.926444
2026-02-22 0.109626 0.467734 1.551002 4.597221 12.109900 28.317501 63.533609
2026-03-01 0.088995 0.407164 1.418492 4.372455 11.880513 28.469586 65.241410
2026-03-08 0.077039 0.374374 1.360382 4.334570 12.088095 29.564941 68.953509
2026-03-15 0.067260 0.346752 1.312510 4.317292 12.342777 30.779395 72.990012
2026-03-22 0.064926 0.349059 1.359715 4.573086 13.301624 33.618701 80.642427